Readings
Related Reports
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Oil Crops Outlook: March 2013
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Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade
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Resources, Policies, and Agricultural Productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa
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Oil Crops Outlook: February 2013
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USDA Agricultural Projections to 2022
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Rising Grain Exports by the Former Soviet Union Region
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Rice Outlook: January 2013
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Cotton and Hydropower in Central Asia: How Resource Competition Affects Trade
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Southeast Asia’s Rice Surplus
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Vegetables and Pulses Outlook; December 2012
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Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: November 2012
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Rice Outlook: November 2012
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Economic Policy and Cotton in Uzbekistan
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Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: October 2012
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Rice Outlook: October 2012
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Vegetables and Pulses Outlook: September 2012
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Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook: September 2012
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Wheat Outlook: September 2012
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Rice Outlook: September 2012
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Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: August 2012
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Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook: August 2012
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Wheat Outlook: August 2012
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Rice Outlook: August 2012
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Reciprocal Trade Agreements: Impacts on U.S. and Foreign Suppliers in Commodity and Manufactured Food Markets
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China’s Market for Distillers Dried Grains and the Key Influences on Its Longer Run Potential
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Dynamic PEATSim Model Documenting Its Use in Analyzing Global Commodity Markets
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Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook: July 2012
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Rice Outlook: July 2012
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International Food Security Assessment, 2012-22
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Policy, Technology, and Efficiency of Brazilian Agriculture
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Vegetables and Pulses Outlook: June 2012
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Indonesia’s Modern Food Retail Sector: Interaction With Changing Food Consumption and Trade Patterns
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Estimating the Range of Food-Insecure Households in India
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Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: May 2012
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Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook: May 2012
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U.S. Net Textile and Apparel Imports Decline in 2011
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USDA Agricultural Projections to 2021
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China’s Volatile Pork Industry
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Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: January 2012
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Long-Term Growth Prospects for Wheat Production in Afghanistan
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Research Investments and Market Structure in the Food Processing, Agricultural Input, and Biofuel Industries Worldwide
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Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: December 2011
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Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: October 2011
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Trade, the Expanding Mexican Beef Industry, and Feedlot and Stocker Cattle Production in Mexico
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Wheat Flour Price Shocks and Household Food Security in Afghanistan
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The Expansion of Modern Grocery Retailing and Trade in Developing Countries
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Brazil’s Ethanol Industry: Looking Forward
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Brazil’s Cotton Industry: Economic Reform and Development
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Reciprocal Trade Agreements: Impacts on Bilateral Trade Expansion and Contraction in the World Agricultural Marketplace
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International Evidence on Food Consumption Patterns: An Update Using 2005 International Comparison Program Data
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Peru: An Emerging Exporter of Fruits and Vegetables
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The U.S. and Mexican Dry Bean Sectors
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Japan’s Beef Market
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Food Security Assessment, 2010-20
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Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook: April 2010
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Growth and Equity Effects of Agricultural Marketing Efficiency Gains in India
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Feed Outlook: December 2009
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The Economics of Agricultural and Wildlife Smuggling
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U.S. Cotton Prices and the World Cotton Market: Forecasting and Structural Change
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What the 2008/2009 World Economic Crisis Means for Global Agricultural Trade
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Trade and Development When Exports Lack Diversification: A Case Study from Malawi
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Imports From China and Food Safety Issues
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Food Security Assessment, 2008-09
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Russia’s Growing Agricultural Imports: Causes and Outlook
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China's Ongoing Agricultural Modernization: Challenges Remain After 30 Years of Reform
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USDA Agricultural Projections to 2018
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Declining Orange Consumption in Japan: Generational Changes or Something Else?
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Colombia: A New Ethanol Producer on the Rise?
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Food Safety and Imports: An Analysis of FDA Import Refusal Reports
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The EU Sugar Policy Regime and Implications of Reform
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The Environment for Agricultural and Agribusiness Investment in India
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Food Security Assessment, 2007
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Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook: March 2008
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USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017
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China’s Cotton Supply and Demand: Issues and Impact on the World Market
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How Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1) Has Affected World Poultry-Meat Trade
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Beef Production, Markets, and Trade in Argentina and Uruguay: An Overview
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Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook: September 2007
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Global Growth, Macroeconomic Change, and U.S. Agricultural Trade
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China Currency Appreciation Could Boost U.S. Agricultural Exports
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Indian Wheat and Rice Sector Policies and the Implications of Reform
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USDA Agricultural Projections to 2016
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Demand for Food Quantity and Quality in China
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Food Security Assessment 2005, GFA 17
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The Role of Policy and Industry Structure in India's Oilseed Markets
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Trade Liberalization in International Dairy Markets: Estimated Impacts
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China's Rising Fruit and Vegetable Exports Challenge U.S. Industries
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Prospects for India's Emerging Apple Market
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Resolution of the U.S.- Japan Apple Dispute: New Opportunities for Trade
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Growth Prospects for India's Cotton and Textile Industries
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Agricultural Trade Preferences and the Developing Countries
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Food Security Assessment, GFA 16
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New Directions in Global Food Markets
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China's Soybean Imports Expected To Grow Despite Short-Term Disruptions
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Global Trade Patterns in Fruits and Vegetables
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Food Security Assessment, GFA-15
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India's Poultry Sector: Development and Prospects
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International Trade and Food Safety: Economic Theory and Case Studies
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International Evidence on Food Consumption Patterns
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Food Security Assessment GFA14
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Structural Change and Agricultural Protection: Costs of Korean Agricultural Policy, 1975 and 1990
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China's Food and Agriculture: Issues for the 21st Century
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Food Security Assessment GFA13
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Livestock Sectors in the Economies of Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union: Transition from Plan to Market and the Road Ahead
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Agriculture in Brazil and Argentina: Developments and Prospects for Major Field Crops
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Changing Structure of Global Food Consumption and Trade
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Agricultural Policy Reform in the WTO--The Road Ahead
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Issues in Food Security
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Food Security Assessment GFA12
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U.S. Farm Exports to APEC Forum Members Up 23 Percent in FY1995, to Record High
Related Amber Waves Articles
Can Brazil Meet the World's Growing Need for Ethanol? Brazil is the world's second largest ethanol producer and exporter (after the United States). Several factors have combined to stimulate the development of Brazil's ethanol industry: an increased capacity to produce sugarcane as an ethanol feedstock, supportive government policies, and improved efficiency in sugarcane production and ethanol conversion processes.
Brazil's Ethanol Industry: Looking Forward. This report profiles and analyzes Brazil's ethanol industry, providing information on the policy environment that enabled the development of feedstock and processing sectors, and discusses the various opportunities and challenges to face the industry over the next decade.
Brazil's Cotton Industry: Economic Reform and Development. This report identifies the factors contributing to the cycles in Brazil's cotton production and exports that have made the country both an important market for U.S. cotton exports and now a competitor with U.S. cotton producers since 1990.
The Expansion of Modern Grocery Retailing and Trade in Developing Countries (July 2011). Modern grocery retailing has been expanding rapidly in developing countries. The expansion could affect food trade by helping consumers achieve their preferences for dietary diversity, convenience, and quality, as well as by introducing supply chain efficiencies that may reduce real food prices. The findings suggest that modern retail expansion has been associated with the demand for nonprice characteristics, such as convenience in food shopping and preparation, rather than developing more efficient supply chains.
The Future of Biofuels: A Global Perspective (November 2007). Global biofuel production tripled between 2000 and 2007, but still accounts for less than 3 percent of the transportation fuel supply worldwide. Biofuels will likely be part of a portfolio of solutions to high energy prices, including conservation, more efficient energy use, and use of other alternative fuels.
Brazil's Booming Agriculture Faces Obstacles (November 2006). Brazil has emerged as an important player in global food and agricultural markets, but the long-term growth of Brazilian agriculture could slow due to supply-side factors. At the same time, growth and changes in food demand in Brazil could dampen growth in processed and high-value agro-food exports.
How Does Structural Change in the Global Soybean Market Affect the U.S. Price? (April 2004). South American soybean production, combined with the U.S. soybean stocks-to-use ratio, provides a strong basis for forecasting U.S. soybean prices. South American soybean production accounts for much of the global structural change that has altered the relationships among U.S. soybean production, use, stocks, and price.
U.S. Agriculture and the Free Trade Area of the Americas (March 2004). The Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), under negotiation among the United States and 33 countries in the Western Hemisphere, will progressively liberalize trade and investment in the region. The FTAA will lead to an estimated 6-percent increase in annual U.S. agricultural exports to the Hemisphere and a 3-percent increase in annual U.S. agricultural imports from the Hemisphere.
International Evidence on Food Consumption Patterns (October 2003). Analysis of major consumption expenditures across 114 countries indicates that poorer countries are more responsive to price and income changes and also allocate larger shares of their total budget to necessities such as food.
Many factors determine the Structure of the Global Markets for Meat (September 2003), including the relative availability of resources for raising and processing animals for meat. Countries' preferences for various cuts of meat provide opportunities for international trade.
Agriculture in Brazil and Argentina: Developments and Prospects for Major Field Crops (January 2002). Recent increases in international competitiveness by Argentine and Brazilian grain and soybean producers likely foreshadow continued global trade-share gains, particularly for soybeans and soybean products. Macroeconomic and policy developments, particularly those related to exchange rates, and infrastructure improvements will remain central to each country's future prospects.
The Brazilian Sugar Industry: Recent Developments 16x16 - PDF (September 2001). Since Brazil can produce either sugar or ethanol from sugarcane, it is one of the few countries that can adjust sugar production rapidly to potential world sugar shortfalls and high international prices. Moreover, Brazilian government policies supporting economic liberalization are likely to increase sugar production and exports.
Lower Real Boosts Brazil's Agricultural Exports 16x16 - PDF (March 2000). Following economic crises in Asia and Russia, Brazil suffered its own financial crisis, which was exacerbated by capital flight. Brazil devalued its currency, the real, 32 percent, which had an immediate, positive effect-enhancing the competitiveness of Brazil's agricultural exports. ERS analysis describes the Brazilian financial crisis and its effects on Brazilian farmers and international agricultural prices and trade.
Brazil's Financial Crisis and the Potential Aftershocks 16x16 - PDF (March 1999). Brazil is known primarily as an agricultural exporter, not an importer. Crisis-related currency devaluation increased the competitiveness of its agricultural exports vis-a-vis U.S. exports, including soybeans and soy products. Brazil's exports to the United States-coffee, orange juice, and others-also benefited from the devaluation.
U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Brazil's Processed Food Industry (March 1998). U.S. foreign direct investment (FDI) in Brazil's processed food industry doubled from $1.03 billion in 1990 to $2.15 billion in 1999, which increased sales for U.S. food companies in the growing Brazilian market. Trade characteristics, such as exports, imports, and tariffs, and industry-specific characteristics, such as industry size and concentration, explain the surge in FDI. U.S. FDI may complement, rather than substitute for, processed food exports from the United States.
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