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Turkey Sector: Background & Statistics


Turkey meat production in the United States over the first nine months of 2015 has totaled 4.17 billion pounds, down 1.6 percent from the same period in 2014.  Total production for the year is forecast at 5.6 billion pounds, also lower than the previous year.  An outbreak of HPAI in leading turkey producing states and the related loss of 7.8 million birds has placed upward pressure on prices.  The October price for whole frozen hen turkeys on the wholesale market was $1.36 per pound, the highest monthly price in 2015, and 17 percent higher than a year earlier.  The average wholesale price for frozen whole hen turkeys during the fourth quarter of 2015 is projected to range from $1.32 to $1.36 per pound, up 18 to 22 cents from the fourth quarter average in 2014.  Turkey consumption in the United States is expected to be 15.8 pounds per person in 2015, up 0.1 pounds from 2014.

For the most current coverage of the livestock industry, see the monthly newsletter Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry.

Production, Consumption, and Trade

Value of turkey production at the farm level:

  • 2008: $4.48 billion
  • 2009: $3.57 billion
  • 2010: $4.37 billion    
  • 2011: $4.99 billion
  • 2012: $5.45 billion
  • 2013: $4.84 billion
  • 2014: $5.30 billion

Data are reported annually in the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Poultry-Production and Value report (April).

U.S. turkey meat production:

  • 2008: 6.25 billion pounds
  • 2009: 5.66 billion pounds
  • 2010: 5.64 billion pounds
  • 2011: 5.79 billion pounds
  • 2012: 5.97 billion pounds
  • 2013: 5.81 billion pounds
  • 2014: 5.76 billion pounds
  • 2015: 5.57 billion pounds (November projection)

Data are reported in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates ( WASDE) report.

State turkey production, 2014:   Turkey full

U.S. total turkey production: 237 million birds in 2014

Top eight producing states:

  • MN- 45.5 million (19.2 percent)
  • AR- 30.0 million (12.7 percent)
  • NC- 28.5 million (12.0 percent)
  • IN- 19 million (8.0 percent)
  • MO- 17 million (7.2 percent)
  • VA- 16.8 million (7.1 percent)
  • CA- 11 million (4.6 percent)
  • IA- 10.5 million (4.4 percent)

Data are reported annually in the NASS Poultry-Production and Value report.

U.S. turkey total use (consumption):

  • 2008: 5.37 billion pounds
  • 2009: 5.21 billion pounds
  • 2010: 5.08 billion pounds
  • 2011: 5.01 billion pounds
  • 2012: 5.03 billion pounds
  • 2013: 5.05 billion pounds
  • 2014: 5.02 billion pounds
  • 2015: 5.08 billion pounds (November projection)

Data are reported in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates ( WASDE) report.

U.S. turkey per capita consumption:

  • 2008: 17.6 pounds
  • 2009: 17.0 pounds
  • 2010: 16.4 pounds
  • 2011: 16.1 pounds
  • 2012: 16.0 pounds
  • 2013: 16.0 pounds
  • 2014: 15.7 pounds
  • 2015: 15.8 pounds (November projection)

Data are reported in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates ( WASDE) report.

U.S. turkey exports (dollar values rounded to the nearest million):

  • 2008: 676 million pounds, valued at $482 million
  • 2009: 533 million pounds, valued at $395 million
  • 2010: 582 million pounds, valued at $463 million
  • 2011: 703 million pounds, valued at $599 million  
  • 2012: 797 million pounds, valued at $682 million
  • 2013: 759 million pounds, valued at $699 million
  • 2014: 805 million pounds, valued at $777 million
  • 2015: 537 million pounds (November projection)

Quantity data are reported in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates ( WASDE) report.

U.S. turkey exports as percent of production:

  • 2008: 10.8 percent
  • 2009: 9.4 percent
  • 2010: 10.3 percent
  • 2011: 12.1 percent
  • 2012: 13.4 percent
  • 2013: 13.1 percent
  • 2014: 14 percent

These figures are calculated by dividing turkey exports by turkey production.

U.S. Prices

Retail price for whole turkey hens:   

  • 2008 average: $1.25 per pound
  • 2009 average: $1.40 per pound
  • 2010 average: $1.48 per pound
  • 2011 average: $1.58 per pound
  • 2012 average: $1.62 per pound
  • 2013 average: $1.65 per pound
  • 2014 average: $1.60 per pound

The series is reported monthly in the Meat Price Spreads table on the ERS website.

Wholesale price for whole turkey hens:     

  • 2008 average: 84.5 cents per pound
  • 2009 average: 76.5 cents per pound
  • 2010 average: 90.4 cents per pound
  • 2011 average: 102.0 cents per pound
  • 2012 average: 105.6 cents per pound
  • 2013 average:  99.7 cents per pound
  • 2014 average: 107.6 cents per pound
  • 2015 average: 117.1 cents per pound (November projection)

Data are reported in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates ( WASDE) report.

Turkey too

Last updated: Monday, November 16, 2015

For more information contact: David Harvey and Alex Melton

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